People say something like this is an example of “AI is replacing engineers,” but that’s ridiculous. What’s actually happening is that one engineer with AI now does the work of ten engineers, which will simply lead to more exciting opportunities for the other nine to “focus on higher-level problems” such as updating their resumes.
That is a pretty good setup and delivery I must say
I think really things will just start shifting as things really do start to get better and step changes of capabilities where “I’m not even going to try to get opus to do X because I know it’s going to suck” moves to “oh wow it’s actually helpful” to “I don’t really even need to be that involved”.
Places where engineering labor is the bottleneck to better output will be where talent migrates towards and places where output is capped regardless of engineering labor are going to be where talent migrates from. I don’t really see this apocalyptic view really accurate at all, I think it’s really going to be cost / output will reduce. It’ll make new markets pop up where it wouldn’t be really possible to justify engineering expense today.
