I think you probably need to consider how many and who is affected and where their voting affiliations already lie if they even vote at all.
My guess is this doesn’t help or hurt either party at the voting booth. If you are ACA aligned or participate in that program you probably already vote Dem or not at all.
Ok, sure… but my guess is that ACA costs aren’t your only political decision maker if you are financially independent. Other things, like market performance under one party over the other probably hold a greater weight on your political considerations. A person in that circumstance generally doesn’t vote with their wallet, they are voting with their portfolio.
But if you are younger, perhaps with a chronic condition, in a job that doesn’t provide a health insurance benefit, and with minimal 401k…you are weighting ACA costs…and are in a demographic that historically votes more blue.
Why? I didn’t vote for Trump, but 4 out of the 5 years he was in office my investments grew pretty substantially in a way that they didn’t under Obama and Biden, I can’t really count 2020 since there was somewhat of an external factor that year. Even still I didn’t lose, just didn’t grow as much.
If AI and tariffs don’t result in substantial market losses for me (and they haven’t yet) why should I care?
Might be some confirmation bias at work in one or both of us. I tend to see conservative people in the FIRE space, seems you see the opposite. I’ll look more closely to get a better feel.
My guess is this doesn’t help or hurt either party at the voting booth. If you are ACA aligned or participate in that program you probably already vote Dem or not at all.