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so nobody read the article and instead regurgitated pre-existing sentiment, while forgetting the golden rule of journalism:

if an article ends in a question mark, the answer is no.

> the greenback dominated 88% of traded FX volumes — close to record highs — while the Chinese yuan (CNY) made up just 7%, according to data from the Bank for International Settlements (BIS).

> Likewise, there is little sign of USD erosion in trade invoicing. “The share of USD and EUR has held steady over the past two decades at around 40–50%.

there is currently no other alternative to meet the global liquidity demands


That first sentence starts with "In 2022,", so presumably the numbers are different now, but I couldn't find anything in the article about how things have changed in the last four years.

To me this is all the more reason to get regulatory gatekeeping out of the financial markets

If the odds in some financial products are worse than gambling while everyone can access gambling, then people should stop making a distinction under the guise of protecting investors

it just drives investors to actual gambling because they cant get the exposure they were already looking for


> it just drives investors to actual gambling because they cant get the exposure they were already looking for

This argument gets trotted out by Wall Street every decade or so, usually under the guise of "democratising" some piece of finance. It's almost always bunk.

Most investment capital is looking for safe returns. It's not competing with gambling. Even within the high-risk end of finance, the game is in turning that high risk into above-market but predictable returns through portfolio mechanics. (Fuckups aside, you can't generally portfolio mechanic your way out of the negative expectated value of a lottery ticket.)

More simply: the notion that we need to increase risk and profitiabilty for intermediaries in investments to keep people from gamblig is a false economy. Gamblers are seeking a different thrill from what financial markets are designed to provide. To the degree we have a problem, it's in letting our markets look more like casinos.

> exposure they were already looking for

Broadly speaking, if you want exposure to the economy you're investing. If you want exposure to a number that goes up, you're gambling. This is an overly-simplistic delineation. But it works for first-order estimates.


> Gamblers are seeking a different thrill from what financial markets are designed to provide.

I'd almost agree if the volume on $SPY zero day options wasn't so immense.


The same financial products are used in both gambling and smart investing. The canonical example here being options. And the restrictions on what the public can and cannot invest in are complete bullshit. You can't buy shares in a series A startup because that is deemed to be too risky for anyone who is not an "accredited" investor ("accredited" here literally means rich). But anyone who wants to can bet on sports, go to a casino, or buy a 2x levered VIX ETF.

>or buy a 2x levered VIX ETF.

Which isn't even tied to the spot price of VIX on a daily basis.

So buying VIX as a hedge against black swan events (or Donald Trump's stupidity) is a losing trade, which is wild to me.


It's not tied to the spot price of the VIX because there is no spot price. It's a third order calculated quantity based on options pricing. Not that anyone who gambles on that ETF knows that.

You're misunderstanding the dynamics here. Modern prediction markets are 90% sports gambling by volume. The trick is that, by positioning themselves as general financial markets and accepting the corresponding regulatory gatekeeping, they're exempt from the often much stricter regulations that states put on normal sports gambling apps.

My stance has been the same long before prediction markets, long before sports gambling moved to prediction markets, and the landscape has been the same the whole time

The states regulate gambling and the feds only protect the state's rackets by restricting online gambling, and the feds regulate financial markets that are not considered gambling, we get it, its two different governments that don't see the silly user experience they've created and are both very passionate about what they do. The people regulating the financial markets think they are doing a noble good by protecting people from losing their money, and now, fast forward to the present, neither are the regulators of sports betting

I didn't write this about sports gambling or event markets and I don't care about that particular subset. There are many many many markets and financial products either accessible or not, in this paradigm

The user experience is stupid when the dumbest trades are still available after the investor has been protected

The capital wants to move so let it move

The regulators should continue mandating transparency and keeping markets operating predictably, but they need to get out the way of approval or denials of financial products or access to them, because its redundant and silly


I'm all for banning gambling too.

Discovery is social

If you’re optimizing for searchers (SEO) you’ve been out of the loop for a decade or catering almost exclusively to the elderly


Then whats all this "Appstore Optimization" about? :-D ;-)

so basically despite the higher resource requirements like 10TB of data for 30 minutes of footage, the compositing is so much faster and more flexible and those resources can be deleted or moved to long term storage in the cloud very quickly and the project can move on

fascinating

I wouldn't have normally read this and watched the video, but my Claude sessions were already executing a plan

the tl;dr is that all the actors were scanned in a 3D point cloud system and then "NeRF"'d which means to extrapolate any missing data about their transposed 3D model

this was then more easily placed into the video than trying to compose and place 2D actors layer by layer


Gaussian splatting is not NeRF (neural radiance field), but it is a type of radiance field, and supports novel view synthesis. The difference is in an explicit point cloud representation (Gaussian splatting), versus a process that needs to be inferred by a neural network.

It's not a type of radiance field.

It’s literally the name of gaussian splatting. 3D Gaussian Splatting for Real Time Radiance Fields

https://repo-sam.inria.fr/fungraph/3d-gaussian-splatting/


Hmm if gaussian splatting is radiance field rendering then so is any 3D rendering, and what's the point of using the name? Though having looked up the name it seems like it isn't well defined enough to mean much anyway tbh.

> and then "NeRF"'d which means to extrapolate any missing data about their transposed 3D model

Not sure if it's you or the original article but that's a slightly misleading summary of NeRFs.


I'm all for the better summary

“there’s no wrong answer, we just want to see how you think” gaslighting in tech needs to be studied by the EEOC, Department of Labor, FTC, SEC, and Delaware Chancery Court to name a few

let’s see how they think and turn this into a paid interview


> a thousand years...

less than a hundred?


> Some crypto trader created a “$GAS” coin via Bags, configuring it to pay a portion of the trading fees to Steve Yegge (via his Twitter account) That trader, or others with the same idea, messaged Yegge on LinkedIn to tell him about his “earnings” (currently $238,000), framing it as support for the Gas Town project. Yegge took the free money and started posting about how exciting $GAS is as a way to fund open-source software creators

hey guys, this is what always happens when someone you respect "rugs" their token and none of their apologies sound genuine

in fact, they actually are also the victims and the real culprits (the token creators DMing popular people) are never held to account

there should be more knowledge of this so people feel deterred and also more likely to avoid these or bring the roving bands of scammers to account

and sure, still hold your community leader accountable in some way, but the proper way more in line with reality

these roving bands of token scammers look for people experiencing 15 minutes of fame, and take advantage of them


the right word, keeping with card playing and poker terms would be book a win or win the hand, scoop the pot

"the only people that would care about a funding a study, funded the study! see! that's proof!"

no conflict == no interest

I agree about the need for more transparency and more peer review actually being done


no OP, but I can answer one way:

the US has very many visa programs, including half a dozen to a dozen work visa programs

this one particular visa program is politically radioactive, as if it is the only work visa program, and it doesn't accomplish its stated goals in hardly any way

until that can be settled I think and the program ironed out, it should be hampered to closed off, a moratorium

I would like to see the H1B program used to its original (and still codified) standards - highly in demand professionals that couldn't be sourced in the US so easily and are exceptional. The minimum wage for what such a professional would be paid was set in the 1980s, to $60,000 for someone with a master's degree, when it was exception. This minimum would be around $156,000/yr today. Okay, let's do that, that makes sense

if its politically radioactive to even just suggest that, all the more reason for a moratorium on that program, to me


For reference, I was an H-1B holder. My starting salary (straight out of college after finishing my master's) in one of the big tech companies was $95k base pay, this was 13 years ago. From my perspective, the visa program worked as intended.

In what way do you think it worked as intended?

13 years ago you should have been ineligible by both base salary and scarcity, until you were a senior architect in some specific niche and commanded a greater base salary

Or on a different work visa

Exhibit a b and c

I’m not saying you aren’t supposed to be here, I’m saying fix that program. The US shouldn’t be training talent and kicking them out. We should be training and keeping talent.

H1B doesn’t do that well either.


> In what way do you think it worked as intended?

If I recall correctly, just my base was 20-30% higher than the prevailing wage that the government publishes (big tech bubble people forget how wages look like outside of big tech). In exchange, my employer hired someone with a graduate degree that knew C/C++ well enough to contribute immediately (I also did an internship with them a year prior).

> 13 years ago you should have been ineligible by both base salary and scarcity

I disagree. I don't believe my wage was lower than what a US candidate would get (from what I've seen at big tech, HR dictates wage brackets so same position translates to roughly same wage) and it is more expensive for a company to hire internationally. To me this means that they were unable to fill the position domestically. Later in my career I was involved in interviewing and the candidates were barely able to code (small sample size though) so either I was unlucky (after all, a lot of people apply even when they maybe shouldn't; some may have had a bad day), or the talent pool is indeed pretty small. I guess systems programming is a specific enough niche?

> I’m not saying you aren’t supposed to be here, I’m saying fix that program. The US shouldn’t be training talent and kicking them out. We should be training and keeping talent.

H1B was the only option available to me that allowed me to kick off the naturalization process so no issues there for me as well.


None of the things you perceived are what I think the H1B should be for though

so I can see how we're talking past each other

in neither my model or the current model, a salary percentage over what the government publishes has nothing to do anything. that's not a factor.

your wage being lower than what a US candidate would be paid for that role is not a factor either.

regarding the talent pool, I think you have it backwards to rationalize how it benefited you, companies are often looking for candidates in many places and then retroactively decide whether to accomodate special circumstances such as visa sponsorship

I'm glad you felt valued, empowered, had a nice compensation package, and a naturalization path you were looking for

now to my model: in 2013 the minimum salary for the H1B with a master's degree should have been ~$113,000. Solely based on the 1989 $60,000 number adjusted for inflation. if the company wouldn't have justified that for their inability to fill the position domestically then it still shouldn't have occurred. or systems programming was that valuable and would have pushed up salaries faster because of the actual shortage.


It was not intended to hire fresh grads with zero experience though and your example shows that it had already been broken 13 years ago.

It's poorly labelled.

Highly in demand professionals are eligible for O1.

H1B is the base work visa for those that aren't covered by a trade deal or haven't completed a US university program, or have and completed OPT.


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