My impression as a European is that trust in the United States has now been burned, and that companies are slowly, but inexorably, completely rethinking their dependence on the U.S. I believe this is a process that is not reversible in the medium term.
Trump, like any politician, will sooner or later pass. How many institutional reforms will the United States have to undertake, and how long will it take before the world trusts them again?
This is correct. Our company (about 40 people in the engineering team) just did a painful move from homegrown orchestration of EC2 instances to containerized ECS/Fargate.
We will now move to some form of "pure" EU-hosted K8s. No more AWS. I bet we will end up saving lots of money too.
Kubernetes was always the next step. We just didn't know the trigger would be the US going _this_ hostile.
Our marketing director chipped in and thinks it will be worth quite a lot if we can show/say that our service is completely independent of the US - but she wants to say it more diplomatically - exactly how is tbd. I disagree. We should just write it out loud and be proud about it. We'll see.
Perhaps: "We work and live in X land. We run all of services in X land, in facilities owned by people living in X land.
That's happening all over Europe but very quietly. The thing to watch is earnings reports of Q1 2027, that's when these chickens will come home to roost. Lots of contracts renew at the end of the year, or not...
The thing is that, even if Trump never becomes a full-out authoritarian, sooner or later someone will follow that path and do so (unless there are institutional reforms with teeth after Trump is gone). I don't trust the US to remain a real democracy long-term, even after Trump is gone.
It’s quite obvious that at some point the entire web will become a collection of billions of tools; Google will index them all, and Gemini will dynamically select them to perform actions in the world for you. Honestly, I expected this with Gemini 3
I thought for a while there will be this massive standardized schema connecting all World APIs into a single traversable object. Allowing you to easily connect anything.
It is clear that in Europe we need to increase the military budget and establish a common army.
After that, it would also be fair to free ourselves from American bases on European soil.
I may be wrong, but I think a cross-EU military alliance is a good, and an EU army at the current time is a bad idea, and the reason I think it is a bad idea is because the EU is an economic union, not yet a political union, and so it way well yet fail, and if it fails, an army based on the EU will necessarily renationalize (as happened in the Soviet Union - soldiers go back to the country they have a passport for).
The other problem with an EU military is the ongoing and I think enormous Russian funding of political instability.
Exactly. Also stop being a US patsy and cats paw. Maybe even develop friendly relations with our neighbour Russia and buy energy from them etc.
How about that for a crazy idea?
The coming years will be a long war for global dominance between you and China. Since you are letting us go, we have no choice but to find our own position of balance among the remaining power blocs. It seems to me that you are making a clear long-term choice with Trump. Am I wrong?
When these models succeed in building a whole program and a whole system then the software industry that creates products and services will disappear.
Any person and any organization will create from scratch the software they need perfectly customized to their needs and the AI system will evolve it over time.
At most they will have to cooperate on communication protocols.
In my opinion we are less than 5 years away from this event.
Any person who has the ability to break down a problem to the point that code can be written to solve it, and the ability to work with an LLM system to get that work done, and the ability to evaluate if the resulting code solves the problem.
That's a mixture of software developer, program manager, product manager and QA engineer.
I think that's what software developer roles will look like in the future: a slightly different mix of skills, but still very much a skilled specialist.
I really want this to be true, but honestly it's really hard. What makes you think this won't be eaten too within the next year based on the current s-curve-if-not-exponential we are on?
Not the poster, but, for example, some people invested heavily in self driving cars (which could be seen as a subset of AGI) and it is much more limited than what we were promised.
My guess is that (as in most fields) the advancements will be more convoluted and surprising than the simple idea of "we now have AGI".
I don't think organization will be able to do this themselves. Transforming vague ideas into a product requires an intermediary step, a step that is already part of our daily job. I don't see this step going away before a very long time.
Non-tech people have the tools to create website for a long time, though, they still hire people to do this. I'm not talking about complex websites, just static web pages.
There will simply be less jobs that there is today.
Trump, like any politician, will sooner or later pass. How many institutional reforms will the United States have to undertake, and how long will it take before the world trusts them again?
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