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Every waterfall begins with a drop.

The cool thing is these kind of agents don’t run on LLMs, they run on classical methods like GOAP and utility AI, etc.

Whoever finds the next interesting trend to talk about after AI is gonna get a lot of upvotes.

crypto, AI/LLM... what's next in this progression?

Genetic programming, new life forms built for specialized tasks (eating plastics, growable solar panels, etc)

Space and Robots.

It could be 3D printing if the manufacturing economy collapses

With modern day clankers, you never have to wash your dishes manually ever again! /s

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dishwasher


If you think you’re average, you’re not average.

Most likely the current administration will pass executive orders banning the use of metric system, and then force other countries to switch to imperial or face heavy tariffs.

Jokes of this form were tired by about November 5, 2024.

IMO Europe will lose its soul if it tries to be too competitive. Once it becomes too easy to start a business or raise capital, it becomes easy to spiral into workaholism. Gone will be the days of month long holidays and leisurely pace.

Cathedral, Megachurch, Bazaar, and now in the age of AI: The Chinese Room.

Always try to sit in seats where your back is toward the direction of motion.

Train crashes like this are _so_ rare. It's not as safe as flying but AFAICT in rich countries it's the same rough order of magnitude in terms of danger level.

I don't have data but I would imagine crashes on these high speed lines (which always seem to be run at a higher level of professionalism than the general networks) are rarest of all.

I don't think it's a good use of mental energy to plan for a crash like this. You're better off using your brain cycles on hygiene or not losing your luggage.


>It's not as safe as flying

In France and Japan, HSR has had zero fatalities in the entire period of operation.

In China, HSR had AFAIR one fatal crash, with 40 fatalities. Per passenger-mile, Chinese HSR is twice as safe as US air travel.


France has had one fatal crash on an LGV, but it was during initial line testing where some safety systems were bypassed.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eckwersheim_derailment


TIL.

At first, when seeing it was in 2015 I was extremely surprised I didn't heard about it at the time. Then I saw the date: Nov 14th 2015, just the day after the ISIS terror attacks in Paris, France's 9/11. Of course we barely heard about a train crash at that time…


I remember this day because I worked in a company that made software for train networks.

It did briefly made the news but not for long due to the terror attacks and also there wasn’t any passenger on this train, it was a train testing.

In fact the story is even more tragic when you know that the day before, they also were too fast in the same turn and in the records you hear something like « few, that was close, better take care next time ».

However, for sure this crash should have never happened but it only happened because they were testing the limits of both the train and the track.

It’s literally like a test pilot crashing an airplane while testing all the limits : it should never happen but they are still there for it not to happen in commercial flights.


> However, for sure this crash should have never happened but it only happened because they were testing the limits of both the train and the track.

No. It happened because they were under-prepared and disorganized, and thereby didn't respect the speed restrictions for the segment of track they were on.

They crashed entering a 175 km/h segment at 265 km/h, which is well above the 10% overspeed they were theoretically testing that day.


>In France and Japan, HSR has had zero fatalities in the entire period of operation.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eckwersheim_derailment


I would not consider an accident during a test run with partially disabled safety procedures a regular part of operations - on a normal run, the train should have slowed down or stopped automatically before derailing because it did significantly exceed the design speed of the track.

> I don't have data

Most railway deaths in the EU are due to unauthorized people on the tracks or due to crossings. The actual number of passengers deaths has been really low in the past years.

https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php...


Aha yeah I did not consider the danger to _passengers_ specifically.

So yeah if you follow the rules you are REALLY safe with rail.

Not to mention the stats about HSR specifically that a few others brought up.


> It's not as safe as flying

In the EU it's safer than flying, with 0.5 deaths per 100 billion km/ passenger vs 3 deaths per 100 billion kms/ passenger. However, since an airplane flies at, let's say, six times the average speed of a train, the actual probability of dying during a 1-hour trip is almost 40 times more on a plane than on a train.


Do your stats include all rail? Because the average airplane definitely does not travel at 6 times the speed of high-speed rail (more like 2.5-3x), and definitely way faster than regional rail (in the order of 12x)

Brain cycles aren’t a limited supply. Besides, you’ll get to feel a nice jolt of serotonin when you remember to sit backwards.

> I would imagine crashes on these high speed lines (which always seem to be run at a higher level of professionalism than the general networks) are rarest of all

If this crash is anything like the other ones, you might be surprised. Safety complacency tends to cause maintenance failures. Plus the low speed lines are less deadly since the total energy is proportional to velocity squared, and v is low.

In other words, it might be more helpful to look at it as "if they’re run at a higher level of standards, it’s because they have to be".

Statistically you’re probably right, but considering how many brain cycles we waste on non-essentials, it’s just as fun to waste them on this. That way you can start a nerdy conversation with your travel companions, and they can learn to travel without you next time.


> Plus the low speed lines are less deadly since the total energy is proportional to velocity squared, and v is low.

You're forgetting about the probability of a crash.

The vast majority of train crashes is due to an impact with a vehicle on a railway crossing.

However, high-speed rail is grade separated, so it doesn't have railway crossings, which means the main cause of crashes is fundamentally impossible.

In other words: Regular rail has a high rate of crashes (with a small number of fatalities each) due to car/truck drivers screwing up. High-speed rail has a low rate of crashes (with a large-ish number of fatalities each) due to catastrophic failure of track & train equipment.


> Brain cycles aren’t a limited supply.

Sure they are.

> Besides, you’ll get to feel a nice jolt of serotonin when you remember to sit backwards.

I can also get that by remembering that I'm conquering a superstition and fitting my behavior closer to real risks.


Zero-risk bias at work. If it’s actually fun for you, don’t let anyone stop you, but I wouldn’t go as far as making it a confident general recommendation.

This is so rare that it's not really worth thinking about, as a passenger (of course, it should be on the _operators_ minds). You're far more likely to die getting to the station.

I feel like airplanes should be designed this way. Outside of takeoff and landing it would be pretty hard to even notice the difference, once you're seated.

At least BEA airliners used to have quite a few backward facing seats, up to half the plane.

However, there were a number of problems - people didn't like sitting in them, people didn't like hearing that their seat wasn't as safe as the others, you can't get as many rows in unless you turn them all backwards, and the structure needs to be designed differently so then you need more spares.


C5 Galaxy (US military jumbo cargo plane) has a passenger compartment with rear facing seats.

Huh. I'd never thought of this. If that is actually meaningfully beneficial, I wonder if they'd design self driving cars with the seats facing backwards, given there's no longer a necessity to look at the road.

(edit: I guess it's more of no-brainer on a train/bus where you don't have a seat belt)


Not the author, but I think there was some research and it's indeed better for you if you have head support, to be facing back towards the front. If prevents a whole range of injuries, from your neck, to becoming a projectile yourself.

But it's really theoretical, and does not account for the passenger in front of you headed head-first into your throat.

PS: I laughed hard that xlbuttplug2 is answering to deadbabe. The internet lives!


Not sure what kind of cars you drive but in mine all the seats face the same direction. Why would they change that when making it safer?

Consider the "booth seats" in trains and busses. So people can chat etc facing each other. If you've got a waymo with your friends why wouldn't you want the seats facing each other so you can be social, excluding this safety factor.

Interesting. I didnt know this, i always get motiom sickness if i sit facing the opposite direction.

Sitting backwards is beneficial if looking at accidents.

But sitting backwards is very very uncomfortable if there is any kind of uneven acceleration, bumps, swaying, rolling, curvy tracks or whatever. Humans need to look forward at the horizon to get their visual stimuli aligned with their motion/balance sense in the inner ear. If that alignment isn't there, you will get seasick. Backwards makes this even worse.

Babies don't suffer from this, because closing your eyes helps, and infants don't have as strong a reaction to motions anyways, due to them usually being carried by their parents until walking age. So reverse baby seats only work for babies.


That's a serious overgeneralization. It's true for some people, but trains mostly don't bump and swerve enough for that to be a significant problem. Finnish trains have lots of seats facing backwards and while they're not anywhere as fast as something like a TGV, they're still often going 200+ km/h. People seem to be just fine. I just spent 1 hour 40 minutes yesterday sitting backwards, mostly reading a book, with no ill effects.

Infant car seats face backwards, they recommend backwards facing for a long as possible (until the kid is too big to fit comfortably in a backwards facing position).

Disclaimer I work for Zoox, but here is us crash testing https://youtu.be/597C9OwV0o4

I enjoyed watching that - though it wasn't really related to the seating direction, specifically.

Are you one of the safety engineers? Have you discovered anything which isn't included in normal safety tests which should be?


It's incredibly beneficial. However many people dislike it and want to be facing the direction they are moving in, so best case is probably a train-style 4-seater. Which 2 seats facing forward and 2 backwards.

I mean if there is actually conclusive evidence that this is safer how is it not criminal to not have all trains adhere to this? The only thing I can think of is motion sickness for some sizable minority of passengers, but even then I would expect them to know the rough percentage of passengers that would discomforted enough to not get on the train.

Or sit in the back of the train rather than the front

Middle.

It was the rear carriage which derailed

... but it seems most casualties in this accident are the passengers in the first carriages of the second train.

You never know.


We can’t. It’s over. Laws don’t mean anything anymore. Even if we had a full democratic congress, they would just be ignored. The Trump administration has already been grooming people to accept congress is useless, beginning with the month long shutdown. And the Supreme Courts will just go along with whatever the president wants now.

Start preparing for the post-American world.


This is self-destructive defeatism. It is also flat wrong on its substantive points.

The only thing congress can do is impeach and convict trump and his administration, thereby stripping him of his authority. Laws have been passed, judges have ruled, but all those are ignored. however, if he has no authority, then we get to find out who's on the side of the constitution and who is with trump and his allies.

There will be many loyalists who will just side with the Trump administration. And then what?

Turns out, when the law has failed, the only solution is a fight to the death. And after such a fight, we do not return to our normal state and live happily ever after, we remain deeply unstable and untrustworthy for decades to come.


If the Senate convicted, things would change. For one thing, I'm confident the military would not consider an impeached and convicted president as its commander in chief. And the prospect of the consequences of continuing to side with such a one would largely evaporate the availability of the administrative apparatus. Civil war would be a possible result, sure. But I disagree that such a Congress would simply be ignored and that ignoring it could be done while maintaining the means of continuing power.

> I'm confident the military would not consider an impeached and convicted president as its commander in chief.

The same ones currently blowing up shipwrecked survivors in the water in the Caribbean? A literal textbook example of a war crime? I’m not.


This is catastrophizing, not analysis. If you genuinely feel this hopeless, that's worth examining as a signal about your own mental state rather than treating it as political insight.

Don’t know how to tell people this, but the world doesn’t really need America to be the country everyone relies on. We may be better off with diversity. Increase your international exposure.

True. But the US want to remain the country everyone relies on if it wants to preserve the dollar as the world's primary trade, reserve and settlement currency.

Dollar dominance gives the US disproportionate leverage over global finance and allows it to shape the rules of the system. Absent this asymmetry, it is difficult to imagine US tariffs or financial pressure (or any kind of pressure) would carry comparable global impact.


Totally - it is the best outcome for the world. As an American, it is sad to see the loss of status, power, everything that is coming our way in the near future.

America's identity has always been founded on being the best, without that, it will be difficult to see what we're even about anymore.

Best at what?

What are you talking about? The US navy protects the commercial shipment routes around the world.

Before the US Navy did that, the Royal Navy did. The work needs to be done, but it doesn't have to be the US doing it.

Likely soon corporate owned drones will protect commercial shipping routes I would think. Not sure if bad actors (pirates?!) will have their own drones.

Because pirates would never steal shipments of drones …

Hmm, there are rail routes across Eurasia.

I’m sure that China would be happy to take over.

And it would be quite hard for China to protect anything that the US or private actors could just sink and enjoy the protection of the US government.

This is not like the Philippines where China can roll them over.


The gratuitous hostility undermines your point.

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